Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dreisamstadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Freiburg II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freiburg II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Freiburg II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 SGV Freiberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Freiburg II 1-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 3-0 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 2-0 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Freiburg II 2-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Freiburg II sit 5th in Regionalliga - SudWest (5 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Freiburg II.
- Where and when is Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg played?
- Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsSV Sandhausen
- Oct 10, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Oct 10, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsFC 08 Homburg
- Oct 10, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Oct 10, 2026TSV SteinbachvsEintracht Trier
- Oct 10, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsVfR Aalen
- Oct 10, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsHessen Kassel
- Oct 10, 2026VfR MannheimvsStuttgarter Kickers