Match

FC Bacau vs Chindia Targoviste: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, Ruși-Ciutea

FC BacauChindia Targoviste

The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Chindia Targoviste. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Bacau vs Chindia Targoviste?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate FC Bacau (1,693) and Chindia Targoviste (1,624).

FC Bacau win57 %
Draw23 %
Chindia Targoviste win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Bacau have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Chindia Targoviste have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Bacau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away)2-2Liga II
Aug 19, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)3-0Cupa României
Aug 16, 2026CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home)3-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Viitorul Onesti(away)3-0Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)2-3Liga II
Chindia Targoviste
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026CS Dinamo București(home)1-2Liga II
Aug 18, 2026CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away)1-1Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026CS Afumati(away)3-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Flacăra Moreni(away)2-1Cupa României
Aug 9, 2026Metaloglobus(home)3-1Liga II

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Bacau win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chindia Targoviste win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2025Chindia Targoviste 4-0 FC BacauLiga II

Last archived meeting: Chindia Targoviste vs FC Bacau on Oct 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chindia Targoviste score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Bacau2.01.276/1511/15
Chindia Targoviste1.31.4210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Bacau sit 6th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and Chindia Targoviste sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6FC Bacau42111057
8Chindia Targoviste4202746

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Bacau vs Chindia Targoviste?
The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Chindia Targoviste.
Where and when is FC Bacau vs Chindia Targoviste played?
FC Bacau vs Chindia Targoviste is played on December 5, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Bacau and Chindia Targoviste

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