Dumbrăviţa vs Metalul Buzău: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Ştefan Dobay, Dumbrăvița
The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Dumbrăviţa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dumbrăviţa vs Metalul Buzău?
Metalul Buzău starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbrăviţa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Metalul Buzău have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(away) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(home) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 0-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(away) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Dumbrăviţa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Metalul Buzău win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Metalul Buzău 5-1 Dumbrăviţa | Liga II |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Dumbrăviţa 0-1 Metalul Buzău | Liga II |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Dumbrăviţa 3-1 Metalul Buzău | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: Metalul Buzău vs Dumbrăviţa on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbrăviţa score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Metalul Buzău score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbrăviţa | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Metalul Buzău | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dumbrăviţa sit 16th in Liga II (3 points from 4 matches) and Metalul Buzău sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dumbrăviţa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dumbrăviţa vs Metalul Buzău?
- The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Dumbrăviţa.
- Where and when is Dumbrăviţa vs Metalul Buzău played?
- Dumbrăviţa vs Metalul Buzău is played on December 5, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Ştefan Dobay, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026CSM Ramnicu ValceavsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Dec 5, 2026CSM ReşiţavsCS Dinamo București
- Dec 5, 2026Popești-LeordenivsConcordia
- Dec 5, 2026SlatinavsAFC Hermannstadt
- Dec 5, 2026CSA Steaua BucureştivsUnirea Slobozia
- Dec 5, 2026Bihor OradeavsMetaloglobus
- Dec 5, 2026ŞtefăneştivsASA Targu Mures
- Dec 5, 2026FC BacauvsChindia Targoviste