FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, Ruși-Ciutea
The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Gloria Bistriţa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate FC Bacau (1,693) and Gloria Bistriţa (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Bacau have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Gloria Bistriţa have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home) | 3-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 2-3 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(away) | 0-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SCM Zalău(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(away) | 3-0 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Bacau win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gloria Bistriţa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Bacau 1-1 Gloria Bistriţa | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gloria Bistriţa score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bacau | 2.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Gloria Bistriţa | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Bacau sit 6th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and Gloria Bistriţa sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Bacau | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Gloria Bistriţa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa?
- The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Gloria Bistriţa.
- Where and when is FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa played?
- FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistriţa is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026AFC HermannstadtvsMetalul Buzău
- Oct 17, 2026ConcordiavsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Oct 17, 2026ASA Targu MuresvsChindia Targoviste
- Oct 17, 2026CSM Ramnicu ValceavsFC Politehnica Timisoara
- Oct 17, 2026CSM ReşiţavsCetatea Suceava
- Oct 17, 2026Popești-LeordenivsCS Afumati
- Oct 17, 2026SlatinavsUnirea Slobozia
- Oct 17, 2026CSA Steaua BucureştivsMetaloglobus