FC BW Linz vs SKN ST. Polten: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz
The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for SKN ST. Polten. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC BW Linz vs SKN ST. Polten?
FC BW Linz starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC BW Linz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SKN ST. Polten have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 5-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gurten(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC BW Linz win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SKN ST. Polten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten 0-1 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| Oct 12, 2023 | FC BW Linz 1-2 SKN ST. Polten | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 12, 2023 | SKN ST. Polten 0-2 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2022 | FC BW Linz 0-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Feb 25, 2022 | SKN ST. Polten 1-1 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| Aug 6, 2021 | FC BW Linz 1-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SKN ST. Polten vs FC BW Linz on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC BW Linz score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; SKN ST. Polten score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC BW Linz | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| SKN ST. Polten | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC BW Linz sit 1st in 2. Liga (12 points from 4 matches) and SKN ST. Polten sit 15th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC BW Linz vs SKN ST. Polten?
- The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for SKN ST. Polten.
- Where and when is FC BW Linz vs SKN ST. Polten played?
- FC BW Linz vs SKN ST. Polten is played on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hofmann Personal Stadion, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.