Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Körner Trainingszentrum powered by Varta, Wien
The Footlab model makes Rapid Wien II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Rapid Wien II (1,765) and Sturm Graz II (1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapid Wien II have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | WSPG Wels(away) | 2-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gloggnitz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rapid Wien II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sturm Graz II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Sturm Graz II 1-2 Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Rapid Wien II 1-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 1-0 Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Rapid Wien II 4-2 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Rapid Wien II 2-2 Sturm Graz II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Rapid Wien II 0-4 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rapid Wien II score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Wien II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapid Wien II sit 10th in 2. Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rapid Wien II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid Wien II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II played?
- Rapid Wien II vs Sturm Graz II is played on April 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Körner Trainingszentrum powered by Varta, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.