FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parc des Sports, Differdange
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Résidence Walferdange. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange?
FC Differdange 03 is a heavy favourite: 1,762 Elo points against 1,352 — a 410-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Differdange 03 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Résidence Walferdange have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Résidence Walferdange | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Differdange 03 sit 5th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and Résidence Walferdange sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Résidence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Résidence Walferdange.
- Where and when is FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange played?
- FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parc des Sports, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsAtert Bissen
- Oct 11, 2026US RumelangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Oct 11, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Oct 11, 2026US HostertvsProgres Niederkorn
- Oct 11, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsF91 Dudelange
- Oct 11, 2026WiltzvsUNA Strassen
- Oct 11, 2026Swift HesperangevsVictoria Rosport