Match

US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jos Becker, Hostert

US HostertProgres Niederkorn

The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for US Hostert. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progres Niederkorn wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?

Progres Niederkorn starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,466).

25%26%49%
US Hostert winDrawProgres Niederkorn win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

US Hostert

4-3-3
  1. 11S. Bekkouche
  2. 14E. H. Dieme
  3. 97K. Quinol
  1. 26M. Leroux
  2. 20C. Baiverlin
  3. 8T. Maquart
  1. 31R. Derbali
  2. 45L. Cungs
  3. 10H. Meddour
  4. 6Jimmy Sergonne
  1. 29Y. Gomes

Progres Niederkorn

4-3-3
  1. 19Y. Bouche
  2. 77K. Corral
  3. 71F. Hoxha
  1. 23Clayton Duarte
  2. 80K. Avdusinovic
  3. 10Omar Natami
  1. 28A. Guett Guett
  2. 11M. Gilgemann
  3. 14C. Sacras
  4. 27V. Peugnet
  1. 1S. Flauss

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Hostert have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Progres Niederkorn have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

US Hostert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Alisontia Steinsel(away)2-1Cup
Sep 16, 2026AS Jeunesse Esch(home)1-1National Division
Sep 12, 2026F91 Dudelange(home)0-0National Division
Sep 5, 2026Victoria Rosport(away)2-0National Division
Aug 30, 2026FC Differdange 03(home)0-2National Division
Progres Niederkorn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Kopstal 33(away)7-0Cup
Sep 16, 2026Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home)0-0National Division
Sep 12, 2026Wiltz(away)2-1National Division
Sep 6, 2026US Rumelange(home)3-0National Division
Aug 30, 2026US Mondorf-les-bains(away)1-2National Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 US Hostert win, 0 draws, 5 Progres Niederkorn wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026US Hostert 1-5 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Oct 1, 2025Progres Niederkorn 2-1 US HostertNational Division
May 4, 2025US Hostert 1-3 Progres NiederkornNational Division
Nov 24, 2024Progres Niederkorn 3-2 US HostertNational Division
Mar 29, 2023Progres Niederkorn 6-0 US HostertNational Division
Oct 9, 2022US Hostert 1-0 Progres NiederkornNational Division

Last archived meeting: US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progres Niederkorn score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
US Hostert1.71.548/157/15
Progres Niederkorn1.91.559/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

US Hostert sit 9th in National Division (11 points from 8 matches) and Progres Niederkorn sit 5th (16 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Progres Niederkorn851213516
9US Hostert8323141111

A question about US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
The Footlab AI model makes Progres Niederkorn the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for US Hostert.
Where and when is US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn played?
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jos Becker, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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