Wiltz vs UNA Strassen: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade am Petz, Weidingen
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiltz vs UNA Strassen?
UNA Strassen starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,433).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiltz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; UNA Strassen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wiltz win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 UNA Strassen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | UNA Strassen 3-0 Wiltz | National Division |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Wiltz 0-3 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Apr 7, 2024 | UNA Strassen 1-1 Wiltz | National Division |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Wiltz 2-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Wiltz 2-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Oct 9, 2022 | UNA Strassen 4-3 Wiltz | National Division |
Last archived meeting: UNA Strassen vs Wiltz on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiltz sit 9th in National Division (4 points from 3 matches) and UNA Strassen sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiltz vs UNA Strassen?
- The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Wiltz.
- Where and when is Wiltz vs UNA Strassen played?
- Wiltz vs UNA Strassen is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade am Petz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026FC Differdange 03vsRésidence Walferdange
- Oct 11, 2026Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsAtert Bissen
- Oct 11, 2026US RumelangevsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Oct 11, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97vsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Oct 11, 2026US HostertvsProgres Niederkorn
- Oct 11, 2026Etzella EttelbruckvsF91 Dudelange
- Oct 11, 2026Swift HesperangevsVictoria Rosport