Match

Wiltz vs UNA Strassen: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade am Petz, Weidingen

WiltzUNA Strassen

The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Wiltz. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wiltz vs UNA Strassen?

UNA Strassen starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,433).

Wiltz win14 %
Draw21 %
UNA Strassen win65 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiltz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; UNA Strassen have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wiltz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Victoria Rosport(away)0-4National Division
Aug 15, 2026FC Differdange 03(home)1-2National Division
Aug 9, 2026Swift Hesperange(away)7-2National Division
Aug 1, 2026Etzella Ettelbruck(home)1-1National Division
Jul 25, 2026AS Eupen(home)0-9Friendlies Clubs
UNA Strassen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Progres Niederkorn(away)1-0National Division
Aug 16, 2026AS Jeunesse Esch(home)1-0National Division
Aug 9, 2026F91 Dudelange(away)2-0National Division
Aug 4, 2026Victoria Rosport(home)4-0National Division
Jul 30, 2026FK Partizan(home)0-1UEFA Europa Conference League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wiltz win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 UNA Strassen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 16, 2025UNA Strassen 3-0 WiltzNational Division
Aug 18, 2024Wiltz 0-3 UNA StrassenNational Division
Apr 7, 2024UNA Strassen 1-1 WiltzNational Division
Oct 8, 2023Wiltz 2-1 UNA StrassenNational Division
Mar 29, 2023Wiltz 2-1 UNA StrassenNational Division
Oct 9, 2022UNA Strassen 4-3 WiltzNational Division

Last archived meeting: UNA Strassen vs Wiltz on Feb 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wiltz1.92.428/1511/15
UNA Strassen1.30.5112/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wiltz sit 9th in National Division (4 points from 3 matches) and UNA Strassen sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1UNA Strassen44008012
9Wiltz3111954

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wiltz vs UNA Strassen?
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Wiltz.
Where and when is Wiltz vs UNA Strassen played?
Wiltz vs UNA Strassen is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade am Petz, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Wiltz and UNA Strassen

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