Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs FC Differdange 03: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Achille Hammerel, Luxembourg
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Racing FC Union Luxembourg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs FC Differdange 03?
FC Differdange 03 starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing FC Union Luxembourg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FC Differdange 03 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(away) | 0-3 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(home) | 5-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Jul 18, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Differdange 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 3-0 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Apr 22, 2026 | FC Differdange 03 2-0 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Cup |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Oct 29, 2025 | FC Differdange 03 5-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| May 18, 2025 | FC Differdange 03 1-1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1-0 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing FC Union Luxembourg score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing FC Union Luxembourg sit 2nd in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and FC Differdange 03 sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs FC Differdange 03?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Racing FC Union Luxembourg.
- Where and when is Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs FC Differdange 03 played?
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs FC Differdange 03 is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Achille Hammerel, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027US RumelangevsF91 Dudelange
- Feb 21, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Feb 21, 2027UNA StrassenvsProgres Niederkorn
- Feb 21, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Feb 21, 2027US HostertvsSwift Hesperange
- Feb 21, 2027WiltzvsVictoria Rosport
- Feb 21, 2027Atert BissenvsRésidence Walferdange