Eddersheim vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 9Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Staustufe, Hattersheim
The Footlab model makes Eddersheim the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eddersheim vs Vfb Marburg?
Eddersheim starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eddersheim have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Eddersheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vfb Marburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Eddersheim 1-2 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 3-2 Eddersheim | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 1-1 Eddersheim | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Eddersheim 2-1 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 4, 2024 | Vfb Marburg 0-2 Eddersheim | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Eddersheim 3-2 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Eddersheim vs Vfb Marburg on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eddersheim score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddersheim | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 14/15 | 11/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eddersheim sit 8th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Eddersheim | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eddersheim vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes Eddersheim the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Eddersheim vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Eddersheim vs Vfb Marburg is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Staustufe, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.