Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, Marburg
The Footlab AI model makes TuBa Pohlheim the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If TuBa Pohlheim wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Vfb Marburg (1,715) and TuBa Pohlheim (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vfb Marburg
Not enough data to predict the Vfb Marburg lineup.
TuBa Pohlheim
Not enough data to predict the TuBa Pohlheim lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vfb Marburg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; TuBa Pohlheim have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vfb Marburg win, 1 draw, 0 TuBa Pohlheim wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 1-1 TuBa Pohlheim | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 31, 2025 | TuBa Pohlheim 3-4 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vfb Marburg score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; TuBa Pohlheim score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vfb Marburg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| TuBa Pohlheim | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vfb Marburg sit 5th in Oberliga - Hessen (20 points from 12 matches) and TuBa Pohlheim sit 7th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 20 |
| 7 | TuBa Pohlheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
A question about Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim?
- The Footlab AI model makes TuBa Pohlheim the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim played?
- Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.