FC Gomel vs Arsenal: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Central'ny, Gomel
The Footlab model makes FC Gomel the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Arsenal. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gomel vs Arsenal?
FC Gomel starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gomel have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Arsenal have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Naftan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Neman(home) | 2-3 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Gomel win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Arsenal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Arsenal 1-1 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Gomel 4-0 Arsenal | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Arsenal 0-0 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2025 | FC Gomel 0-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Arsenal 1-0 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Jul 6, 2024 | FC Gomel 5-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gomel score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gomel | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Arsenal | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gomel sit 5th in Premier League (30 points from 19 matches) and Arsenal sit 11th (21 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Gomel | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 11 | Arsenal | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gomel vs Arsenal?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gomel the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Arsenal.
- Where and when is FC Gomel vs Arsenal played?
- FC Gomel vs Arsenal is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Central'ny, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.