Naftan vs ML Vitebsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Atlant, Novopolotsk
The Footlab AI model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Naftan. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
ML Vitebsk is a heavy favourite: 1,843 Elo points against 1,472, a 371-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naftan vs ML Vitebsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naftan
3-5-2- 57T. Galimzyanov
- 94A. Voskoboynikov
- 50G. Mafwenta
- 24I. Seleznev
- 9V. Yakovlev
- 6K. Adamovich
- 97V. Chernyavskiy
- 8A. Stefanishin
- 5Andrey Lebedev
- 8A. Stefanishin
- 16D. Sadovskiy
ML Vitebsk
4-3-3- 12R. Bosić
- 80A. Kontsevoy
- 10D. Cleonise
- 55V. Gromyko
- 27A. Mesarović
- 4A. Ode
- 20Z. Volkov
- 6K. Gomanov
- 45I. Moskalenchik
- 23S. Balanovich
- 1P. Pavlyuchenko
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftan have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; ML Vitebsk have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Naftan wins, 0 draws, 6 ML Vitebsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | ML Vitebsk 2-1 Naftan | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | ML Vitebsk 2-0 Naftan | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Naftan 0-3 ML Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | ML Vitebsk 2-1 Naftan | Coppa |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Naftan 1-2 ML Vitebsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Naftan 2-3 ML Vitebsk | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Naftan score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; ML Vitebsk score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftan | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| ML Vitebsk | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naftan sit 15th in Premier League (17 points from 24 matches) and ML Vitebsk sit 1st (47 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 47 | 18 | 47 |
| 15 | Naftan | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 55 | 17 |
A question about Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Naftan.
- Where and when is Naftan vs ML Vitebsk played?
- Naftan vs ML Vitebsk is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Atlant, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.