Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Neman, Grodno
The Footlab model makes Neman the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for FC Dnepr Mogilev. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Neman starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neman have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; FC Dnepr Mogilev have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Naftan(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Neman win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Dnepr Mogilev win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-0 Neman | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2025 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 Neman | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Neman 3-1 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 Neman | Premier League |
| Jan 23, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 Neman | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Neman 2-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neman score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dnepr Mogilev score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neman | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neman sit 8th in Premier League (27 points from 18 matches) and FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th (14 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Neman | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
- The Footlab model makes Neman the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for FC Dnepr Mogilev.
- Where and when is Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev played?
- Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Neman, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.