Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04FC Saarbrücken

The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925) and FC Saarbrücken (1,912).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win48 %
Draw24 %
FC Saarbrücken win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Saarbrücken have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Preußen Münster(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-23. Liga
Aug 1, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Palermo(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
FC Saarbrücken
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)5-23. Liga
Jul 26, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Augsburg(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Saarbrücken win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026FC Saarbrücken 1-0 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Oct 25, 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Feb 1, 2025FC Ingolstadt 04 1-0 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Aug 24, 2024FC Saarbrücken 2-3 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Jan 27, 2024FC Saarbrücken 0-2 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Aug 26, 2023FC Ingolstadt 04 2-2 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga

Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 041.61.548/158/15
FC Saarbrücken1.51.359/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Saarbrücken2200626
15FC Ingolstadt 042020332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken?
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for FC Saarbrücken.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken played?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Ingolstadt 04 and FC Saarbrücken

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