FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925) and FC Saarbrücken (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Saarbrücken have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Saarbrücken win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken 1-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-0 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FC Saarbrücken 2-3 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FC Saarbrücken 0-2 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 26, 2023 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-2 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Saarbrücken | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Saarbrücken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken?
- The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for FC Saarbrücken.
- Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken played?
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Saarbrücken is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 20, 2027MSV DuisburgvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Feb 20, 2027Würzburger KickersvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Feb 20, 2027Preußen MünstervsStuttgart II
- Feb 20, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsHavelse
- Feb 20, 2027SV MeppenvsVerl
- Feb 20, 2027Hansa RostockvsFC Viktoria Köln
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