Match

Würzburger Kickers vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)AKON ARENA, Würzburg

Würzburger KickersRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Würzburger Kickers (2,071) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).

Würzburger Kickers win57 %
Draw22 %
Rot-Weiß Essen win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Würzburger Kickers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Würzburger Kickers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 20261. FC Köln(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026SV Wehen(home)4-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)2-23. Liga
Jul 30, 2026FSV Frankfurt(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 1, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-1Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Würzburger Kickers2.90.8510/1512/15
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Würzburger Kickers2110624
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Würzburger Kickers vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Würzburger Kickers vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
Würzburger Kickers vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at AKON ARENA, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Würzburger Kickers and Rot-Weiß Essen

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