FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ludwigspark, Saarbrücken
The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate FC Saarbrücken (1,912) and FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Saarbrücken have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Saarbrücken win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken 1-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-0 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FC Saarbrücken 2-3 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FC Saarbrücken 0-2 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 26, 2023 | FC Ingolstadt 04 2-2 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Saarbrücken | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Saarbrücken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
- The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
- Where and when is FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
- FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ludwigspark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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