FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 28Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya?
FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 FC Jerusalem win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-5 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 26, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 1-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 6-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Nov 8, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 3-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on March 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsNordia Jerusalem
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Mar 9, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Azor
- Mar 9, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Sderot
- Mar 9, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsMaccabi Yavne
- Mar 9, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Mar 9, 2027Beitar YavnevsDimona
- Mar 9, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsTzeirey Tira