FC Jūrmala vs Ilukstes NSS: result 1-1 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on April 12, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kauguru vidusskola stadions, Jūrmala
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What was the result of FC Jūrmala vs Ilukstes NSS?
FC Jūrmala and Ilukstes NSS drew 1-1 on April 12, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 62′Oļegs MalašenoksFC Jūrmala
- 86′A. Kuplovs-OginskisIlukstes NSS (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jūrmala have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Ilukstes NSS have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | Jelgava(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Mar 31, 2013 | Skonto(away) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Spartaks Jurmala(home) | 0-3 | Virsliga |
| Nov 4, 2012 | FK Ventspils(away) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Daugavpils / Progress(away) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | Skonto(away) | 0-5 | Virsliga |
| Mar 31, 2013 | Spartaks Jurmala(away) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Nov 11, 2012 | 1625 Liepāja(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Tukums(away) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jūrmala score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ilukstes NSS score 2.9 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jūrmala | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ilukstes NSS | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy