FC Koln W vs Mainz 05 W: prediction and stats
Frauen BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Franz-Kremer-Stadion, Köln
The Footlab AI model makes FC Koln W the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Mainz 05 W. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Koln W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Koln W vs Mainz 05 W?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate FC Koln W (1,887) and Mainz 05 W (1,830).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Koln W vs Mainz 05 W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Koln W
5-3-2- 9P. Bremer
- 17L. Andrade
- 27L. Feiersinger
- 30S. Nachtigall
- 20C. Elsen
- 8L. Vogt
- 37B. Sterner
- 29V. Leimenstoll
- 33M. Hegering
- 5C. Degen
- 1L. Schmitz
Mainz 05 W
Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Koln W have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Mainz 05 W have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Freiburg W(home) | 0-1 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hertha Berlin W(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bayern Munich W(away) | 2-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Union Berlin W(home) | 3-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mainz 05 W(away) | 4-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Leipzig W(away) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ingolstadt W(away) | 6-1 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt W(home) | 2-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SC Freiburg W(away) | 0-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Koln W(home) | 0-4 | Frauen Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 FC Koln W win, 0 draws, 0 Mainz 05 W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mainz 05 W 0-4 FC Koln W | Frauen Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Mainz 05 W vs FC Koln W on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Koln W score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mainz 05 W score 2.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Koln W | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Mainz 05 W | 2.8 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Koln W sit 7th in Frauen Bundesliga (9 points from 6 matches) and Mainz 05 W sit 14th (0 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Koln W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
A question about FC Koln W vs Mainz 05 W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Koln W vs Mainz 05 W?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Koln W the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Mainz 05 W.
- Where and when is FC Koln W vs Mainz 05 W played?
- FC Koln W vs Mainz 05 W is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Franz-Kremer-Stadion, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.