FC Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Lokomotiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Krasnodar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv?
FC Krasnodar starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,070 vs 1,958).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Krasnodar
4-2-3-1- 9J. Córdoba
- 11Batxi
- 53A. Chernikov
- 47D. Utkin
- 18Christian
- 6Kevin Pina
- 5Jubal
- 15L. Olaza
- 40I. Vakhania
- 3Vítor Tormena
- 1S. Agkatsev
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1- 27N. Komlichenko
- 18N. Titkov
- 7Z. Bakaev
- 6S. Babkin
- 9S. Pinyaev
- 77A. Mostovoy
- 23C. Montes
- 24M. Nenakhov
- 45A. Siljanov
- 5G. Nyamsi
- 1A. Mitryushkin
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Lokomotiv have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Krasnodar win, 4 draws, 1 Lokomotiv win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv 3-3 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lokomotiv 1-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 1-2 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | FC Krasnodar 0-0 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Lokomotiv 0-3 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Lokomotiv 1-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Lokomotiv | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Krasnodar sit 5th in Premier League (22 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
A question about FC Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Lokomotiv.
- Where and when is FC Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv played?
- FC Krasnodar vs Lokomotiv is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Krasnodar, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.