Rodina Moskva vs Dinamo Makhachkala: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Khimki, Khimki
The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Dinamo Makhachkala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Rodina Moskva (1,907) and Dinamo Makhachkala (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dinamo Makhachkala have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Akron(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Rodina Moskva win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Dinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina Moskva | First League |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Rodina Moskva 0-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | First League |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Rodina Moskva 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | First League |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-0 Rodina Moskva | First League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva on May 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva | 1.6 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva sit 13th in Premier League (4 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Makhachkala sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Rodina Moskva | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
- The Footlab model makes Rodina Moskva the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Dinamo Makhachkala.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva vs Dinamo Makhachkala played?
- Rodina Moskva vs Dinamo Makhachkala is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Khimki, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.