FC Krasnodar vs Zenit: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Zenit. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Krasnodar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Zenit?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate FC Krasnodar (2,132) and Zenit (2,180).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Krasnodar vs Zenit
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Krasnodar
4-2-3-1- 9J. Córdoba
- 53A. Chernikov
- 11Batxi
- 8Douglas Augusto
- 10D. Vorobjev
- 23J. Boselli
- 3Vítor Tormena
- 5Jubal
- 40I. Vakhania
- 15L. Olaza
- 1S. Agkatsev
Known absences
N. KrivtsovOut · Muscle injury
Zenit
4-2-3-1- 7A. Sobolev
- 5W. Barrios
- 11Luiz Henrique
- 14Jhon Jhon
- 20Pedro Henrique
- 10M. Glushenkov
- 31Gustavo Mantuan
- 25K. Andrade
- 78I. Diveev
- 33Nino
- 16D. Adamov
Known absences
WendelOut · Injured
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 8 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats; Zenit have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Krasnodar wins, 1 draw, 3 Zenit wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Zenit 1-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 0-1 Zenit | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Krasnodar 3-0 Zenit | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 0-2 Zenit | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Zenit 4-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | FC Krasnodar 2-0 Zenit | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zenit vs FC Krasnodar on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zenit score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Zenit | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Krasnodar sit 1st in Premier League (21 points from 9 matches) and Zenit sit 5th (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 18 |
A question about FC Krasnodar vs Zenit?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs Zenit?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Zenit.
- Where and when is FC Krasnodar vs Zenit played?
- FC Krasnodar vs Zenit is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Krasnodar, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.