FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gazovik, Rostoshi
The Footlab model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Dinamo Makhachkala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate FC Orenburg (1,845) and Dinamo Makhachkala (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Orenburg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dinamo Makhachkala have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 FC Orenburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala 1-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | FC Orenburg 1-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | FC Orenburg 2-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Dinamo Makhachkala 2-1 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Orenburg on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Orenburg score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Orenburg sit 9th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Makhachkala sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
- The Footlab model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Dinamo Makhachkala.
- Where and when is FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala played?
- FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gazovik, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.