FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
The Footlab model makes FC Liefering the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II?
FC Liefering starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Liefering have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Sturm Graz II have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(home) | 2-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | WSPG Wels(home) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(away) | 4-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Liefering win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sturm Graz II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Sturm Graz II 0-1 FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | FC Liefering 2-2 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 1-0 FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | FC Liefering 2-2 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| May 3, 2024 | FC Liefering 4-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sturm Graz II 1-1 FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz II vs FC Liefering on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Liefering score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Liefering | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Liefering sit 4th in 2. Liga (7 points from 4 matches) and Sturm Graz II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Liefering | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II?
- The Footlab model makes FC Liefering the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II played?
- FC Liefering vs Sturm Graz II is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.