SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am): prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kapfenberg, Kapfenberg
The Footlab model makes Austria Vienna (Am) the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for SV Kapfenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am)?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate SV Kapfenberg (1,656) and Austria Vienna (Am) (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Kapfenberg have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Austria Vienna (Am) have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Liefering(away) | 1-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(home) | 3-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ried II(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SV Kapfenberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Austria Vienna (Am) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am) 1-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Nov 28, 2025 | SV Kapfenberg 1-2 Austria Vienna (Am) | 2. Liga |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SV Kapfenberg 4-2 Austria Vienna (Am) | 2. Liga |
| Aug 5, 2022 | Austria Vienna (Am) 2-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| May 6, 2022 | SV Kapfenberg 5-1 Austria Vienna (Am) | 2. Liga |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Austria Vienna (Am) 1-3 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Austria Vienna (Am) vs SV Kapfenberg on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Kapfenberg score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Vienna (Am) score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Kapfenberg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Austria Vienna (Am) | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Kapfenberg sit 16th in 2. Liga (0 points from 4 matches) and Austria Vienna (Am) sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am)?
- The Footlab model makes Austria Vienna (Am) the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for SV Kapfenberg.
- Where and when is SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am) played?
- SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am) is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kapfenberg, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.