FC Lugano vs FC Thun: result 2-1 and analysis
Super LeagueMatchday 12Kick-off on October 28, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
Full time
What was the result of FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
FC Lugano won 2-1 on October 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 2′Carlinhos JúniorFC Lugano
- 19′M. TosettiFC Thun
- 37′Alexander Clas Robin GerndtFC Lugano
Official lineup for FC Lugano vs FC Thun
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
FC Lugano
4-3-3- 11Carlinhos Júnior
- 10M. Bottani
- 19Alexander Clas Robin Gerndt
- 17B. Vécsei
- 14J. Sabbatini
- 20P. Brlek
- 91D. Mihajlović
- 7E. Masciangelo
- 28Fulvio Sulmoni
- 3M. Marić
- 1David da Costa
FC Thun
4-3-3- 9D. Sorgić
- 6K. Fatkić
- 33M. Spielmann
- 34N. Sutter
- 10B. Stillhart
- 11M. Tosetti
- 17D. Hediger
- 20C. Kablan
- 4M. Rodrigues
- 31S. Glarner
- 1G. Faivre
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lugano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; FC Thun have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2018 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Grasshoppers(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2018 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 23, 2018 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | FC Luzern(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Oct 7, 2018 | FC Zurich(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | BSC Young Boys(home) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Grasshoppers(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 22, 2018 | FC Sion(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Lugano wins, 3 draws, 0 FC Thun wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | FC Thun 1-1 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Apr 14, 2018 | FC Lugano 1-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Dec 16, 2017 | FC Thun 0-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Nov 5, 2017 | FC Thun 1-1 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Aug 26, 2017 | FC Lugano 4-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Apr 17, 2017 | FC Lugano 2-1 FC Thun | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lugano score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Lugano sit 1st in Super League (34 points from 13 matches) and FC Thun sit 8th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 34 |
| 8 | FC Thun | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 14 |
A question about FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy