FC Lugano vs FC Thun: result 2-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 28, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
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What was the result of FC Lugano vs FC Thun?
FC Lugano won 2-1 on October 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 2′Carlinhos JúniorFC Lugano
- 19′M. TosettiFC Thun
- 37′Alexander Clas Robin GerndtFC Lugano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lugano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; FC Thun have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2018 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Grasshoppers(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2018 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 23, 2018 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | FC Luzern(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Oct 7, 2018 | FC Zurich(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | BSC Young Boys(home) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Grasshoppers(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 22, 2018 | FC Sion(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Lugano win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 FC Thun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | FC Thun 1-1 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Apr 14, 2018 | FC Lugano 1-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Dec 16, 2017 | FC Thun 0-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Nov 5, 2017 | FC Thun 1-1 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Aug 26, 2017 | FC Lugano 4-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Apr 17, 2017 | FC Lugano 2-1 FC Thun | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lugano score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Lugano sit 2nd in Super League (9 points from 3 matches) and FC Thun sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy