FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
The Footlab AI model makes FC Lugano the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Kauno Žalgiris. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Lugano wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On Elo ratings, FC Lugano has 1,945 points and Kauno Žalgiris 1,882.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Lugano
3-5-2- 9A. Ajeti
- 11R. Steffen
- 27Daniel Dos Santos
- 8A. Grgić
- 21Y. Cimignani
- 2B. Karimov
- 46M. Zanotti
- 6A. Papadopoulos
- 17L. Mai
- 3H. Delcroix
- 16D. von Ballmoos
Kauno Žalgiris
4-1-4-1- 27G. Debeljuh
- 20A. Kalik
- 14V. Slivka
- 9L. Kreković
- 8Y. Karashima
- 15Leonardo
- 33M. Konatar
- 23A. Hernández
- 77R. Lekiatas
- 62L. Kastrati
- 55T. Švedkauskas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lugano have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Kauno Žalgiris have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 4-0 | Super League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lausanne(away) | 4-0 | Super League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | BSC Young Boys(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Minija(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 5-1 | A Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lugano score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kauno Žalgiris score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Lugano the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Kauno Žalgiris.
- Where and when is FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris played?
- FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris is played on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Cornaredo, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.