FC Messina vs Santa Maria Cilento: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2021 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio, Messina
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What was the result of FC Messina vs Santa Maria Cilento?
Santa Maria Cilento won 0-1 on November 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′?Santa Maria Cilento
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Messina have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Santa Maria Cilento have 8, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | Real Normanna(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Sancataldese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Acireale(home) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Lamezia Terme(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Rende(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | Troina(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Rende(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Cavese(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Sancataldese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Cittanova Interpiana(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Messina score 0.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Maria Cilento score 1.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Messina | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Santa Maria Cilento | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy