Match

FC Midtjylland vs Viborg: prediction and stats

SuperligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)MCH Arena, Herning

FC MidtjyllandViborg

The Footlab model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Viborg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Viborg?

FC Midtjylland starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,169 vs 2,012).

FC Midtjylland win50 %
Draw24 %
Viborg win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Viborg have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Midtjylland
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Randers FC(home)1-0Superliga
Aug 20, 2026HNK Rijeka(home)2-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Lyngby(away)1-1Superliga
Aug 13, 2026Bohemians(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Bohemians(away)2-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Viborg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)4-0Superliga
Aug 14, 2026Aarhus(home)2-1Superliga
Aug 7, 2026Sonderjyske(away)0-0Superliga
Aug 2, 2026Brondby(away)0-1Superliga
Jul 24, 2026Odense(home)1-0Superliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Midtjylland win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Viborg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026FC Midtjylland 3-3 ViborgSuperliga
Mar 22, 2026Viborg 1-1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
Dec 7, 2025Viborg 3-3 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
Sep 20, 2025FC Midtjylland 2-0 ViborgSuperliga
Nov 10, 2024Viborg 1-0 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
Sep 29, 2024FC Midtjylland 3-1 ViborgSuperliga

Last archived meeting: FC Midtjylland vs Viborg on May 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Midtjylland score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Viborg score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Midtjylland2.21.158/158/15
Viborg1.31.366/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Midtjylland sit 4th in Superliga (10 points from 4 matches) and Viborg sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Viborg53117210
4FC Midtjylland43107410

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs Viborg?
The Footlab model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Viborg.
Where and when is FC Midtjylland vs Viborg played?
FC Midtjylland vs Viborg is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at MCH Arena, in the Superliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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