Odense vs Aarhus: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nature Energy Park, Odense
The Footlab model makes Aarhus the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Odense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odense vs Aarhus?
Aarhus starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (2,074 vs 1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odense have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Aarhus have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aarhus(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AC Horsens(home) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Silkeborg(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sonderjyske(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Viborg(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Odense(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viborg(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Odense win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Aarhus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aarhus 2-2 Odense | Superliga |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Aarhus 2-1 Odense | Superliga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Aarhus 3-1 Odense | DBU Pokalen |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Odense 1-0 Aarhus | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Odense 1-5 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Aarhus 4-1 Odense | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Odense score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aarhus score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odense | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Aarhus | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odense sit 7th in Superliga (4 points from 5 matches) and Aarhus sit 10th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Odense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odense vs Aarhus?
- The Footlab model makes Aarhus the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Odense.
- Where and when is Odense vs Aarhus played?
- Odense vs Aarhus is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nature Energy Park, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.