FC Minsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Minsk, Minsk
The Footlab model makes FC Minsk the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for FC Dnepr Mogilev. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Minsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
FC Minsk starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Minsk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Dnepr Mogilev have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Neman(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Minsk win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Dnepr Mogilev win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 FC Minsk | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 4-1 FC Minsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 29, 2024 | FC Minsk 2-2 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| May 10, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 FC Minsk | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FC Minsk 3-2 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2023 | FC Minsk 2-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Coppa |
Last archived meeting: FC Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk on Jul 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dnepr Mogilev score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Minsk | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Minsk sit 7th in Premier League (28 points from 19 matches) and FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th (14 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Minsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
- The Footlab model makes FC Minsk the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for FC Dnepr Mogilev.
- Where and when is FC Minsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev played?
- FC Minsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Minsk, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.