Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 30Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Atlant, Novopolotsk
The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Naftan. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk?
Dinamo Minsk is a heavy favourite: 1,857 Elo points against 1,446, a 411-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naftan
5-4-1- 11I. Pranovich
- 50G. Mafwenta
- 9V. Yakovlev
- 10A. Savitskiy
- 6K. Adamovich
- 8A. Stefanishin
- 97V. Chernyavskiy
- 24I. Seleznev
- 5Andrey Lebedev
- 7A. Tumanov
- 16D. Sadovskiy
Dinamo Minsk
4-3-3- 10K. Vardanyan
- 7E. Malashevich
- 30M. Djimet
- 8A. Selyava
- 42F. Abdullahi
- 78A. Sokolovskiy
- 26V. Kalinin
- 67R. Begunov
- 24A. Vakulich
- 12A. Ivanov
- 47A. Kudravets
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftan have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Dinamo Minsk have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Neman(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Naftan wins, 1 draw, 5 Dinamo Minsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk 5-1 Naftan | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk 1-1 Naftan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Naftan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Naftan 1-3 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| May 31, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Naftan | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Naftan 1-2 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naftan score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Minsk score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftan | 1.1 | 2.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naftan sit 16th in Premier League (17 points from 28 matches) and Dinamo Minsk sit 3rd (61 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 23 | 61 |
| 16 | Naftan | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 70 | 17 |
A question about Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Naftan.
- Where and when is Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk played?
- Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Atlant, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.