Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Atlant, Novopolotsk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Naftan. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk?
Dinamo Minsk is a heavy favourite: 1,881 Elo points against 1,463 — a 418-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftan have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Dinamo Minsk have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Neman(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-2 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Naftan win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dinamo Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk 1-1 Naftan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Naftan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Naftan 1-3 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| May 31, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Naftan | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Naftan 1-2 Dinamo Minsk | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk 2-2 Naftan | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naftan score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Minsk score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftan | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naftan sit 16th in Premier League (10 points from 18 matches) and Dinamo Minsk sit 2nd (36 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 36 |
| 16 | Naftan | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Naftan.
- Where and when is Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk played?
- Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Atlant, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.