Torpedo Zhodino vs Baranovichi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Tarpeda, Zhodino
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Zhodino the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Baranovichi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Zhodino vs Baranovichi?
Torpedo Zhodino starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,700 vs 1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Zhodino have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Baranovichi have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lida(away) | 4-0 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(away) | 1-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Torpedo Zhodino win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Baranovichi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Baranovichi 1-0 Torpedo Zhodino | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2019 | Baranovichi 1-7 Torpedo Zhodino | Coppa |
Last archived meeting: Baranovichi vs Torpedo Zhodino on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Zhodino score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Baranovichi score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Zhodino | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Baranovichi | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Zhodino sit 9th in Premier League (24 points from 18 matches) and Baranovichi sit 12th (18 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Baranovichi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Zhodino vs Baranovichi?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Zhodino the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Baranovichi.
- Where and when is Torpedo Zhodino vs Baranovichi played?
- Torpedo Zhodino vs Baranovichi is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Tarpeda, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.