FC National Ialoveni vs Victoria Bardar: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FC National Ialoveni the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Victoria Bardar. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC National Ialoveni vs Victoria Bardar?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate FC National Ialoveni (1,199) and Victoria Bardar (1,166).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, FC National Ialoveni have 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Victoria Bardar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Făleşti(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Oguzsport(home) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | FC Stăuceni(away) | 3-7 | Cupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(home) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Făleşti(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oguzsport(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 6, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(away) | 2-4 | Super Liga |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
FC National Ialoveni score 1.0 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 4; Victoria Bardar score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC National Ialoveni | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Victoria Bardar | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC National Ialoveni sit 5th in Liga 1 (1 points from 3 matches) and Victoria Bardar sit 4th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Bardar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | FC National Ialoveni | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC National Ialoveni vs Victoria Bardar?
- The Footlab model makes FC National Ialoveni the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Victoria Bardar.
- Where and when is FC National Ialoveni vs Victoria Bardar played?
- FC National Ialoveni vs Victoria Bardar is played on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.