Iskra vs FCM Ungheni: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orăşenesc Rîbnița, Rîbniţa
The Footlab model makes Iskra the favourite at 48%, against 20% for a draw and 32% for FCM Ungheni. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iskra vs FCM Ungheni?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Iskra (1,308) and FCM Ungheni (1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iskra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FCM Ungheni have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(home) | 10-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Univer Comrat(away) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Zimbru II(away) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 6-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Floreşti(away) | 4-5 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Iskra win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FCM Ungheni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | Iskra 1-0 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | FCM Ungheni 3-1 Iskra | Liga 1 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Iskra 2-1 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | FCM Ungheni 2-2 Iskra | Liga 1 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | FCM Ungheni 4-3 Iskra | Liga 1 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Iskra 2-3 FCM Ungheni | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Iskra score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FCM Ungheni score 3.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iskra | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| FCM Ungheni | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iskra sit 2nd in Liga 1 (9 points from 4 matches) and FCM Ungheni sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Iskra | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | FCM Ungheni | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iskra vs FCM Ungheni?
- The Footlab model makes Iskra the favourite at 48%, against 20% for a draw and 32% for FCM Ungheni.
- Where and when is Iskra vs FCM Ungheni played?
- Iskra vs FCM Ungheni is played on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orăşenesc Rîbnița, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.