Floreşti vs Oguzsport: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Izvoare, Izvoare
The Footlab model makes Floreşti the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Oguzsport. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Floreşti vs Oguzsport?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Floreşti (1,287) and Oguzsport (1,189).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Floreşti have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Oguzsport have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| May 20, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(home) | 5-4 | Super Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | Politehnica UTM(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| May 5, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Făleşti(home) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC National Ialoveni(away) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Victoria Bardar(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 2-5 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Floreşti win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Oguzsport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Oguzsport 1-0 Floreşti | Liga 1 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Floreşti 1-1 Oguzsport | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Oguzsport 1-3 Floreşti | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Floreşti score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oguzsport score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floreşti | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Oguzsport | 1.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oguzsport | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Floreşti vs Oguzsport?
- The Footlab model makes Floreşti the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Oguzsport.
- Where and when is Floreşti vs Oguzsport played?
- Floreşti vs Oguzsport is played on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Izvoare, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.