FC Orenburg vs Fakel: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 15, 2025 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Gazovik, Rostoshi
Full time
What was the result of FC Orenburg vs Fakel?
FC Orenburg won 1-0 on March 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′S. BozhinFC Orenburg (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Orenburg have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Fakel have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | FC Rostov(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Rubin(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Veles(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Zenit(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Khimki(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 17, 2025 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Nasaf(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Orenburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fakel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Fakel 1-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Fakel 0-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | FC Orenburg 1-2 Fakel | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2023 | FC Orenburg 0-0 Fakel | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Fakel 0-1 FC Orenburg | Cup |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Fakel 1-3 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Orenburg score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fakel | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Orenburg sit 8th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Fakel sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Fakel | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy