Akron vs Fakel: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara
The Footlab model makes Akron the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Fakel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akron vs Fakel?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Akron (1,803) and Fakel (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akron have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fakel have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Akron win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fakel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Akron 1-1 Fakel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Akron 1-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Akron 2-0 Fakel | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Fakel 1-2 Akron | Cup |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Fakel 0-2 Akron | Premier League |
| Nov 17, 2021 | Akron 2-0 Fakel | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Akron score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Fakel | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akron sit 16th in Premier League (2 points from 5 matches) and Fakel sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fakel | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Akron | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akron vs Fakel?
- The Footlab model makes Akron the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Akron vs Fakel played?
- Akron vs Fakel is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Solidarnost Samara Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.