Akron vs Fakel: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara
The Footlab AI model makes Akron the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Fakel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Akron wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akron vs Fakel?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Akron (1,838) and Fakel (1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Akron vs Fakel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Akron
4-3-3- 7Gilson Benchimol
- 11Dudu
- 9S. Tedić
- 15S. Lončar
- 8K. Bistrović
- 22K. Maradishvili
- 26João Escoval
- 13V. Bardybakhin
- 21R. Fernández
- 19M. Bokoev
- 88V. Gudiev
Fakel
3-4-3- 11A. Sutormin
- 17A. Kovalev
- 7M. Turishchev
- 55D. Todorović
- 23V. Yakimov
- 97B. Magomedov
- 8A. Bagamaev
- 5A. Gabaraev
- 40Clayton
- 53M. Bardachev
- 1D. Frolkin
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akron have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Fakel have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Akron wins, 1 draw, 0 Fakel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Akron 1-1 Fakel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Akron 1-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Akron 2-0 Fakel | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Fakel 1-2 Akron | Cup |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Fakel 0-2 Akron | Premier League |
| Nov 17, 2021 | Akron 2-0 Fakel | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Akron score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Fakel | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akron sit 14th in Premier League (8 points from 10 matches) and Fakel sit 16th (3 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Akron | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | Fakel | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Akron vs Fakel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akron vs Fakel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Akron the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Akron vs Fakel played?
- Akron vs Fakel is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Solidarnost Samara Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.