FC Orenburg vs Fakel: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 28, 2022 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gazovik, Rostoshi
Full time
What was the result of FC Orenburg vs Fakel?
FC Orenburg won 4-1 on October 28, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 42′J. MarínFC Orenburg
- 44′J. MarínFC Orenburg
- 57′G. FlorentínFC Orenburg
- 83′B. MansillaFC Orenburg (pen.)
- 86′M. MaksimovFakel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Orenburg have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Fakel have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2022 | CSKA Moscow(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Akhmat(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Dynamo(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Akhmat(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | FC Sochi(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | FC Rostov(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Khimki(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Zenit(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Orenburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fakel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | Fakel 1-0 FC Orenburg | First League |
| Jul 31, 2021 | FC Orenburg 0-2 Fakel | First League |
| Feb 27, 2021 | FC Orenburg 1-2 Fakel | First League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Fakel 0-2 FC Orenburg | First League |
| Nov 18, 2017 | FC Orenburg 5-0 Fakel | First League |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Fakel 0-1 FC Orenburg | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Orenburg score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Fakel | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Orenburg sit 8th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Fakel sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Fakel | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy