FC Porto B vs Chaves: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Pedroso, Vila Nova de Gaia
The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for FC Porto B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chaves wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Chaves?
On Elo ratings, FC Porto B has 1,904 points and Chaves 1,922.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Porto B vs Chaves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Porto B
4-2-3-1- 89Mateus Mide
- 66Bernardo Lima
- 56Kauê
- 92João Pedro Moreira Teixeira
- 58T. Silva
- 70Eirik Granaas
- 93Tiago Ferreira
- 64Luís Gomes
- 55Y. Pereira
- 76Dinis Rodrigues
- 50J. Afonso
Chaves
4-3-3- 10André Rodrigues
- 30Costinha
- 17Roberto
- 19Gilberto García
- 42Aílson Tavares
- 16D. Yearwood
- 23Léo Alabá
- 34Ricardo Alves
- 33Tiago Simões
- 7R. Esajas
- 1João Valido
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto B have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chaves have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Farense(away) | 0-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Porto B wins, 1 draw, 3 Chaves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | FC Porto B 3-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Chaves 0-1 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | FC Porto B 1-2 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Chaves 2-1 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 20, 2022 | FC Porto B 0-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Chaves 4-2 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto B score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Chaves | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto B sit 13th in Segunda Liga (7 points from 7 matches) and Chaves sit 17th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
A question about FC Porto B vs Chaves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto B vs Chaves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for FC Porto B.
- Where and when is FC Porto B vs Chaves played?
- FC Porto B vs Chaves is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.