FC Porto vs Estrela: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2025 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Full time
What was the result of FC Porto vs Estrela?
FC Porto won 3-1 on December 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′SamuFC Porto (pen.)
- 60′A. MarcusEstrela
- 63′Francisco MouraFC Porto
- 73′SamuFC Porto
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Estrela have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | Malmo FF(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Tondela(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Nice(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Arouca(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Valladolid(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 5-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 FC Porto win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Estrela 2-0 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2024 | FC Porto 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FC Porto 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 26, 2023 | FC Porto 3-3 Estrela | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.3 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto sit 2nd in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Estrela sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy