FC Porto vs Estrela: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2025 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Full time
What was the result of FC Porto vs Estrela?
FC Porto won 3-1 on December 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′SamuFC Porto (pen.)
- 60′A. MarcusEstrela
- 63′Francisco MouraFC Porto
- 73′SamuFC Porto
Official lineup for FC Porto vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
FC Porto
4-3-3- 17Borja Sainz
- 9Samu
- 11Pepê Aquino
- 86Rodrigo Mora
- 22A. Varela
- 8Victor Mow Froholdt
- 74Francisco Moura
- 4J. Kiwior
- 5J. Bednarek
- 20Alberto Baio
- 99Diogo Costa
Estrela
3-4-3- 63Alexandre Sola
- 98Kikas
- 99A. Marcus
- 10I. Stoica
- 6O. Ngom
- 19Paulo Moreira
- 55S. Lopes Cabral
- 83Otávio
- 14Bernardo Schappo
- 30Luan Patrick
- 40Renan Ribeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Estrela have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | Malmo FF(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Tondela(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Nice(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Arouca(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Valladolid(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 5-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 FC Porto wins, 1 draw, 1 Estrela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Estrela 2-0 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2024 | FC Porto 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FC Porto 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 26, 2023 | FC Porto 3-3 Estrela | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.3 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto sit 1st in Primeira Liga (24 points from 8 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
A question about FC Porto vs Estrela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy