Nacional vs Tondela: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2025 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Nacional vs Tondela?
Nacional won 3-1 on December 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 49′E. MaviramTondela
- 68′Zé VitorNacional
- 90′Paulinho BóiaNacional
- 90′C. RamírezNacional (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tondela have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Benfica(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 2-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Estrela(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | FC Porto(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Caldas(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | AVS(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tondela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | Nacional 1-2 Tondela | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 12, 2024 | Tondela 2-3 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Nacional 1-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Tondela 1-0 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Nacional 1-0 Tondela | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Nacional 0-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Tondela | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy