FC Porto vs Manchester SC: prediction and stats
Catarinense - 31st Phase - 2Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Manchester SC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for FC Porto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto vs Manchester SC?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 2 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Manchester SC have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Fluminense-SC(home) | 0-2 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Tubarao(away) | 0-6 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Camboriú(away) | 1-3 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Metropolitano(home) | 2-1 | Catarinense - 2 |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Blumenau(away) | 0-6 | Catarinense - 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto vs Manchester SC?
- The Footlab model makes Manchester SC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for FC Porto.
- Where and when is FC Porto vs Manchester SC played?
- FC Porto vs Manchester SC is played on September 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Catarinense - 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.