FC Rostov vs Akhmat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rostov Arena, Rostov-na-Donu
The Footlab AI model makes FC Rostov the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Rostov wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rostov vs Akhmat?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate FC Rostov (1,912) and Akhmat (1,893).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Rostov vs Akhmat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Rostov
4-3-3- 99T. Suleymanov
- 6O. Olusegun
- 10I. Komarov
- 27D. Prokhin
- 18K. Kuchaev
- 8A. Mironov
- 87A. Langovich
- 4V. Melekhin
- 3O. Sako
- 40Ygor Nogueira
- 84A. Petrov
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 13M. Konaté
- 18Júlio Romão
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 20M. Samorodov
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 1V. Ulyanov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rostov have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Akhmat have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Rostov wins, 2 draws, 4 Akhmat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Akhmat 4-1 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Akhmat 1-0 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | FC Rostov 1-1 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Akhmat 2-1 FC Rostov | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | FC Rostov 2-3 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Akhmat 0-0 FC Rostov | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rostov score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Akhmat score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rostov | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Akhmat | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rostov sit 12th in Premier League (11 points from 10 matches) and Akhmat sit 11th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
A question about FC Rostov vs Akhmat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rostov vs Akhmat?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Rostov the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Akhmat.
- Where and when is FC Rostov vs Akhmat played?
- FC Rostov vs Akhmat is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rostov Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.