Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lukoil Arena, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for CSKA Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Spartak Moscow (2,100) and CSKA Moscow (2,015).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Moscow have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; CSKA Moscow have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Akron(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartak Moscow win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 CSKA Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 1-0 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-0 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 3-2 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-2 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 0-2 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 0-0 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Moscow score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Moscow score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| CSKA Moscow | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Moscow sit 2nd in Premier League (12 points from 5 matches) and CSKA Moscow sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for CSKA Moscow.
- Where and when is Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow played?
- Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lukoil Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.