FC Santa Coloma vs Carroi: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, Santa Coloma
The Footlab model makes FC Santa Coloma the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Carroi. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Santa Coloma vs Carroi?
FC Santa Coloma is a heavy favourite: 1,743 Elo points against 1,326, a 418-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santa Coloma have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Carroi have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 2-6 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-3 | Copa Constitució |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 0-5 | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 22, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-0 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Santa Coloma win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Carroi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Carroi 0-2 FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Carroi 2-1 FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 14, 2025 | FC Santa Coloma 7-0 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 14, 2024 | FC Santa Coloma 4-0 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 3, 2023 | FC Santa Coloma 2-1 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Carroi 0-2 FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Santa Coloma score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carroi score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Santa Coloma | 1.7 | 1.1 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Carroi | 0.5 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Santa Coloma sit 4th in 1a Divisió (44 points from 24 matches) and Carroi sit 8th (17 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Santa Coloma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 20 | 44 |
| 8 | Carroi | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 55 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Santa Coloma vs Carroi?
- The Footlab model makes FC Santa Coloma the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Carroi.
- Where and when is FC Santa Coloma vs Carroi played?
- FC Santa Coloma vs Carroi is played on January 24, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.