Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 14Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, Santa Coloma
The Footlab AI model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Sporting Escaldes. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes?
Penya Encarnada is a heavy favourite: 1,384 Elo points against 1,016, a 367-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penya Encarnada
4-3-3- 10D. Farhat
- 19Sascha
- 27I. Pinilla
- 8J. Garcia
- 6E. M. Freixas
- 12A. Ricardo
- 3F. Rabago
- 5F. Molina
- 33G. V. Quichini dos Santos
- 2R. M. Mesquita Lopes de Souza
- 41M. Olmo
Sporting Escaldes
4-3-3- 19Aarón Sánchez
- 7E. Balentin
- 17F. Serra
- 8Joao Luz
- 20A. Arreola
- 23L. Salguero
- 27E. Vargas
- 75A. Alfaiate
- 3C. Ramirez
- 4Emili García
- 22L. Ferreiro
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penya Encarnada have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Sporting Escaldes have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(home) | 0-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Casa de Portugal(away) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carroi(away) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 1-5 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Casa de Portugal(home) | 1-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Carroi(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Penya Encarnada(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(home) | 1-5 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Penya Encarnada wins, 0 draws, 0 Sporting Escaldes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Penya Encarnada 2-0 Sporting Escaldes | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Sporting Escaldes 1-6 Penya Encarnada | 2a Divisió |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Penya Encarnada 12-0 Sporting Escaldes | 2a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penya Encarnada score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Escaldes score 1.2 and concede 3.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penya Encarnada | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Sporting Escaldes | 1.2 | 3.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penya Encarnada sit 8th in 1a Divisió (6 points from 7 matches) and Sporting Escaldes sit 9th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penya Encarnada | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Sporting Escaldes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 4 |
A question about Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Sporting Escaldes.
- Where and when is Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes played?
- Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes is played on January 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.