FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
FC Seoul starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Seoul have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Gimcheon Sangmu FC have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 7-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 4-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Incheon United(away) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Seoul win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-0 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | FC Seoul 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | FC Seoul 1-3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 6-2 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| May 28, 2025 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-1 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | FC Seoul 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Seoul on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Seoul score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gimcheon Sangmu FC score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Seoul sit 1st in K League 1 (53 points from 25 matches) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 11th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 53 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 25 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Where and when is FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC played?
- FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Seoul World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.